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DA 6 trains personnel on crop, livestock production forecast

ILOILO CITY (PIA) -- The Department of Agriculture (DA) Western Visayas recently capacitated its 40 technical personnel on crop and livestock production forecasting at Western Visayas Integrated Agricultural Research Center, here.

In a press release, DA 6 noted that this workshop aimed to improve and strategically deliver interventions to the farming sector in the region considering that production forecasts are necessary for forming policy decisions and strategies to block food insecurity and price instability.

The participants, who took part in the workshop spearheaded by freelance statistician Sheena Balinsoy, were report officers and technical staff from the five banner programs, Research Division, Agribusiness and Marketing Assistance Division, and Planning, Monitoring and Evaluation Division of DA 6.

Balinsoy discussed the basic statistical concepts and data sources, Time Series concepts, and Time Series Analysis using the AutoRegressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) Modelling in the Statistical Packages for the Social Sciences (SPSS).

Meanwhile, senior agriculturist Clark Melendres said that “it is imperative to equip agency staff with data forecasting systems since PSA is no longer mandated to come up with estimates or production forecasts.”

He also added that they need to utilize and analyze time series data, particularly production forecasts. Once available per cropping season, these forecasted data can serve as tools for making sound policy decisions and strategies to boost the actual crop and livestock production.

Other than that, participants were also capacitated in generating local production forecasts using ARIMA and SPSS, especially on rice, corn, vegetables, livestock, and other significant commodities in the region.

DA Western Visayas stressed that reliable production forecasts will likewise aid the agency in creating responses to the current and emerging farming issues such as the increasing input prices and climate conditions to avert further production shortfalls. (JBG/FRG/PIA6/Story and photos from DA-RFO VI, RAFIS)

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Franz Remar Garion

Region 6

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