QUEZON CITY (PIA) -- The Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) announces that La Niña (cold phase) condition has ended and the country can expect a normal weather condition from March to June.

The weather state bureau explains that most of the climate models predict that ENSO neutral (neither La Niña nor El Niño) is favored during those periods this year.

However, on July onwards there is an increased likelihood of a transition to El Niño (warm phase). Rainfall projections before this transition will be near normal to above normal level across the country. Whilst on the second half of 2023, the country can experience below-normal rainfall. This phenomenon may persist until 2024.

"Mga buwan po ng July, inaasahan natin posibleng mag-start but by the end of the year 'yung projection natin doon mararanasan 'yung epekto ng El Niño... Not necessarily pagdating ng July ay kulang na tayo sa tubig," PAGASA Assistant Weather Services Chief Chris Perez said in a televised public briefing. 

"May kaunti pang lag effect 'yan, then possibly by August and September magsisimula na tayong makaranas ng below normal rainfall. Kahit pa magsimula 'yung panahon ng El Niño season possibly by July, may mga lugar pa rin pong pwedeng makaranas ng near normal to above normal rainfall conditions," he added. 

Due to less rainfall, the water level in reservoirs could go down. The reduction in water supply could in turn affect the agriculture and power generation sectors. Aside from this, the El Niño phenomenon could bring hot temperate, dry conditions and droughts.

Although the country will be experiencing a warm and dry season, we can still experience rain and localized thunderstorms.  PAGASA is also not ruling out the possibility of weather disturbance such as tropical cyclone.

Thus, everyone is still advised to monitor weather conditions and to take precautionary measures against the lagging effects of La Niña and the impending El Niño.

How to cope with El Niño?

• Drink plenty of water. Extreme heat may result to dehydration and heat stroke. One of the best ways to protect yourself from the heat is to stay well hydrated;
• Wear loose and light-colored clothing. These clothes will help you move freely and make you feel cooler;
• Avoid strenuous physical activity. Being overexposed or over-exercised for in the existing thermal environment may lead to high body temperature and may cause a heat stroke;
• Avoid too much sun exposure, if possible, use sunblock to protect your skin and bring protective gear such as an umbrella or hat; and
• Conserve water.

Meanwhile, President Ferdinand R. Marcos Jr. admits that there is a water crisis in the country as he urges to employ modern technology and stratagems in the management of water resources country to ensure sufficient water supply that meets the needs of the people.

In February, President Marcos has already approved the creation of a Water Resource Management Office (WRMO) to manage the country’s water resources and respond to the current environmental challenges. (KSAA – PIA CPSD)